Israel demolishes near a UNESCO site in Lebanon amid tensions. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by July 31, 2026 at 0.2% ...

IDF demolishes Hezbollah command center after cease-fire breach. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 0.2% YES.

Microsoft, Micron, and Nvidia each gained over $100B in market cap amid tech demand. Nvidia largest company by August 31 at ...

US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw record $4.5B in June outflows while leveraged ETFs hit $135B AUM, revealing a major rotation away ...

Apple's growth slows due to AI supply chain strains. Apple at 71.5% YES to be second-largest company by market cap on July 31 ...

Suspected Russian missile explosion in Poland under investigation. NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, 2026 at 26% YES ...

Houthis attack Saudi Arabia from Iraq, leading to US-Saudi airstrikes. Military action by Iran against a Gulf state by July ...

Citadel Securities paid $10B for Situational Awareness LP's public equity portfolio after Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI fund ...

Senator Lummis confirmed the CLARITY Act will be voted on before the August recess. Act signed into law by 2026 at 27.5% YES.

Iranian and Houthi forces attacked Amazon data centers and a Saudi oil site. Further military action against Gulf states on ...

Egypt denies Iran's involvement in the Damietta drone attack. Military action by Iran against a Gulf state on July 31 at 41% ...

Drone strike damages gas tankers near Suez Canal. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 31 at 39.5% YES.